The recent controversy surrounding Telegram CEO Pavel Durov has raised concerns within the crypto community, with some experts suggesting it could be a “black swan event”: an unforeseen incident with potentially catastrophic consequences.
Below is an overview of the situation and its impact on the crypto market.
Durov's legal troubles mount
Pavel Durov is facing multiple legal challenges across Europe that could have a significant impact on the cryptocurrency sector. In France, Durov has been charged and is banned from leaving the country, according to the Bloomberg report. He faces allegations related to criminal activity on Telegram, although he has been released on €5 million bail, with strict reporting requirements. In response to the controversy, Pavel Durov’s lawyer David-Olivier Kaminski described the charges against Durov as “nonsense.”
In addition to the French charges, Durov is being investigated in India for possible criminal abuse of the messaging platform. The European Union is also investigating Telegram for alleged violations of the Digital Services Act (DSA), specifically regarding underreported user numbers. Additionally, Durov is facing an unrelated criminal complaint in Switzerland regarding child abuse filed by his former partner, adding yet another layer of controversy.
Investors on the edge
This legal storm is hitting crypto venture capital firms hard, especially those heavily invested in Toncoin, which is tied to Telegram’s blockchain network. Pantera Capital, Animoca Brands and Mirana Ventures have all poured millions into the 10th-largest cryptocurrency Toncoin, betting on Telegram’s success. But with Durov in hot water, that bet is looking riskier by the day.
Still, CoinFund managing partner Alex Felix has no regrets about his investment in TON. Another Toncoin investor, Ryze Labs founder and CEO Matthew Graham, is also bullish on Toncoin, even though the token has dropped 15% in the past 7 days to $5.58.
On the other hand, Lasse Clausen, a founding partner at 1kx, a crypto VC firm, is sounding the alarm. He calls this situation a potential “Black Swan event” — something unpredictable that could lead to market chaos. However, investors were counting on Telegram to boost Toncoin adoption, but with Durov’s future uncertain, many are starting to wonder if that will happen.
What This Means for Crypto
Despite recent legal troubles for Telegram CEO Pavel Durov, it’s crucial to distinguish between Telegram and Toncoin, the cryptocurrency associated with Telegram. After settling with the SEC in 2020, Toncoin is largely independent of Telegram. Experts including Masterkey VC’s Shauli Rejwan believe Toncoin can distance itself from Telegram’s problems and continue to grow.
Meanwhile, Durov is facing serious legal restrictions in France, with bail set at $5.5 million. On the market front, many crypto assets have shown resilience despite the crash warning. Bitcoin has seen a modest 0.8% gain to trade at $59,676, while Ethereum has risen 3.8% to trade at $2,553.
This shows that the crypto industry, including Toncoin, remains stable despite the issues Telegram is facing.
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